Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 175.474843 202.005862 231.982610 268.517261 312.051016 362.521044 425.833995
2025-10-05 144.796248 180.341406 224.466575 283.912266 362.889111 465.612022 611.656498
2025-10-12 126.952805 167.166327 220.568684 298.019033 409.749085 568.714901 818.764684
2025-10-19 109.846654 150.818020 208.083714 296.019247 431.416737 638.579868 993.088756
2025-10-26 99.741795 142.036745 203.877295 303.820412 467.123373 734.460911 1230.222637
2025-11-02 90.633352 133.136502 197.727762 306.862289 494.790484 821.742387 1474.638714
2025-11-09 83.467566 126.077081 193.129720 311.130699 524.478192 917.622028 1760.882792
2025-11-16 76.738649 118.787039 187.029092 311.575205 546.925247 1004.185380 2053.130792
2025-11-23 70.725438 111.913823 180.647921 310.329136 565.587590 1086.751152 2361.591614
2025-11-30 66.558035 107.621319 178.058287 315.431638 597.202149 1202.481175 2785.798424
2025-12-07 60.454297 99.372020 167.546435 303.947391 592.842778 1238.803708 3022.055165
2025-12-14 56.233313 94.013133 161.649289 300.627311 605.090616 1315.554244 3394.704974
2025-12-21 52.562622 89.638131 157.734322 302.154827 631.624236 1441.410385 3988.994678
2025-12-28 51.133961 89.265614 161.458168 320.476326 701.515981 1699.947838 5141.403511
2026-01-04 49.546497 88.396596 164.065659 336.819619 770.737238 1981.005622 6552.664596
2026-01-11 46.266684 83.904585 158.798798 334.513311 792.185784 2132.697918 7582.325800
2026-01-18 44.353503 81.903305 158.422651 343.530760 845.940892 2402.730159 9303.955780
2026-01-25 42.142970 79.074367 155.939859 347.048465 885.434453 2642.262221 11091.568191
2026-02-01 40.241193 76.691782 154.142543 351.986096 930.461153 2919.633417 13330.581374
2026-02-08 38.178794 73.777072 150.827778 352.500398 962.448006 3163.663517 15642.293699
2026-02-15 36.161366 70.777272 146.993642 351.058721 988.175595 3395.755983 18149.311194
2026-02-22 34.785677 69.046006 145.913131 356.963191 1039.761846 3758.393462 21997.144687
2026-03-01 32.344770 64.765235 138.366757 343.677617 1023.091174 3820.650738 23739.016989